Welcome to the eighth annual SNN Predicts series of articles (ninth overall, if you count the 2004 version done on the forums, lost to the mists of time but notable for the fact that I went 0-4 in series involving the Flames), in which we act like we know what we’re talking about and make our (mostly) blindingly obvious predictions, with a shocking amount of success, considering some mainstream reporters usually wind up under .500 by the time the Stanley Cup is finally awarded somewhere around Canada Day. This is also at least my sixth year in a row copying and pasting the same intro, because I’m cool like that.
So. Three of the last four Stanley Cups – including the league’s #1 possession team – are sitting at home, the Jets look like a decent dark horse out of the Neo-Smythe, and the East is tempting me to pull out a d8 and Matt it up. Oh, and I’m doing this for dollars this year, with five of them sitting in an office pool. That should be interesting.
As always, the best predictor is still last-20 GP shot-adjusted Corsi (“possession”), which has about a 75% conversion rate, but I’ve gone against it in three of eight series: two for injury reasons (one getting better, one getting worse), and one for MVP reasons. Fingers crossed there. Also, I’m super nervous about my Cup Finals picks with a bunch of the safe ones gone, and I’m still not completely convinced of my Western champion, but fuck it, you gotta put something down, right? First instinct or bust.